We have two key swing state polls today as well as a new national poll which I will breakdown in detail at the end of the post.
-- In Florida, Rasmussen has Obama leading McCain for the first time ever in their polling, 46% to 45%. When leaners are factored in, it's 49% to 47%. Just last month, Rasmussen had McCain ahead in Florida by 7%, the month before by 8%, and the month before that by 10%, so this is a major swing. The big reason is that Independents have shifted to Obama in a huge way. He now leads Independents in Florida by 23%. He also leads among women by 7%. Obama also continues to dominate on the economy. 49% said it's the #1 issue and they pick Obama over McCain

By Mark Murray WASHINGTON - A majority of Americans think Barack Obama is a riskier choice for the presidency, but he maintains a six-point lead over Republican John McCain, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
With slightly more than 100 days until the election, the survey provides a glimpse of the challenges facing both presidential candidates.
our taking him to Afghanistan, Iraq, Israel, Germany, France and England — and it hints at what he could gain from such a trip.

by Jeffrey M. Jones PRINCETON, NJ - Since Barack Obama clinched the Democratic nomination and moved into a front-running position for the general presidential election in early June, he has seen his standing versus John McCain improve among voters in red states, blue states, and competitive (or purple) states. Obama has gained at least 3 points in the Obama-McCain gap in all three state groupings compared with voter sentiments in March through May.
Prior to Obama's securing the Democratic nomination in early June, he and McCain were running even nationally, with each averaging 45% of the total vote in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from March through May. Since then, Obama has

By SETH STRATTON The Davidson County campaign to elect Sen. Barack Obama as president kicked off Tuesday night with its first meeting at the American Legion

We had greater differences between the age groups in the Democratic presidential primaries than any I can recall seeing, and we are seeing significant differences between age groups in general election polls. The ABC/Washington Post poll has Obama ahead among the under-30s by a whopping 66 percent to 30 percent, while McCain leads among over-65s (technically, I should say "65 and overs," but "over-65s" is more succinct) by 45 percent to 40 percent. Quinnipiac has Obama leading among under-35s by 63 percent to 31 percent, while McCain edged Obama 45 percent to 44 percent among over-55s. The CBS/New York Times poll showed Obama leading among under-30s by 48 percent to 36 percent,

Last month, Obama led by over twenty points in the first survey conducted since Hillary Clintonâs exit from the race. In May, the Democrat had a 51% to 38% lead. This pattern has been seen in many states where Obama enjoyed a bounce after clinching the nomination.
The biggest change this month is among unaffiliated voters. Among voters not affiliated with either candidateâs party, McCain and Obama are now essentially even. Last month, Obama had a 57% to 30% lead among those voters. Obama has support from 78% of Democrats in Maine, while McCain is backed by 72% of Republicans.
iew Profile

By KEVIN LANDRIGAN, Staff Writer CONCORD – Presidential nominees to be Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain are locked in a dead heat in New Hampshire

It's been about a month since we last took a look under the microscope at the possible outcomes of the Electoral College vote this November, so it's time for an update. For those of you too busy to read this, I will sum it up for you in advance: Looks good for Obama!
Now, I don't want anyone to be swept up in untimely exuberance, and firmly caution against prematurely popping champagne corks here. There's a lot of time left in this race, and anything can happen. But things are undeniably looking good for Obama's chances of winning versus McCain's.
of available data, so I chose to use their figures.

By JB Williams Saturday, July 19, 2008 Understanding American voter sentiments heading into the 2008 Election cycle is no easy task.